The warning exists
On 27 August a regional forum published a forecast that most of southern Africa's rainy season will probably fail. Twelve days on, the region has heard it. The gap is money. Dispatch 01.
Tracking the itinerary of the 2026-2027 El Niño global weather patterns
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Three things that moved in September
A failed northern harvest, the crews that cut it, and the ocean being blamed for both: three stories from the first three weeks of September, each followed to its latest document.
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The 2026 arc
The front door to the project: a record El Niño, two legs between late October and December 2026, the same households at harvest in May 2027, and how the whole thing gets checked.